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Connecting MPAs – eight challenges for science and management
ERWANN LAGABRIELLEa,b,c,*, ESTELLE CROCHELETb,d, MARCO ANDRELLOe,f,g, STEVEN R. SCHILLh,SOPHIE ARNAUD-HAONDi, NEIL ALLONCLEj and BENJAMIN PONGEj
aUniversité de La Réunion, ESPACE-Dév (UMR 228), Sainte Clotilde, Réunion, FrancebInstitut de Recherche pour le Développement, ESPACE-Dév (UMR 228), Sainte Clotilde, Réunion, France
cNelson Mandela Metropolitan University, Botany Department, Saasveld Campus, Private Bag X6531, George, 6530, South AfricadInstitut de Recherche pour le Développement, CoRéUs (UR 227), Sainte Clotilde, Réunion, France
eUMR 151 - Laboratoire Population Environnement et Développement, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement - Université Aix-Marseille,Centre St Charles, 3, place Victor Hugo, 13331 Marseille Cedex 3, France
fUniv. Grenoble Alpes, LECA, F-38000 Grenoble, FrancegCNRS, LECA, F-38000 Grenoble, France
hThe Nature Conservancy, Caribbean Program, Coral Gables, Florida, USAiIFREMER, Unité Halieutique Méditerranée (HM) du Département Ressources Biologiques et Environnement (RBE) - UMR212 -
Ecosystèmes Marins Exploités (EME), Sète, FrancejAgence des Aires Marines Protégées, Brest, France
ABSTRACT
1. Connectivity is a crucial process underpinning the persistence, recovery, and productivity of marineecosystems. The Convention on Biological Diversity, through the Aichi Target 11, has set the ambitiousobjective of implementing a ‘well connected system of protected areas’ by 2020.2. This paper identifies eight challenges toward the integration of connectivity into MPA network management
and planning. A summary table lists the main recommendations in terms of method, tool, advice, or action toaddress each of these challenges. Authors belong to a science–management continuum including researchers,international NGO officers, and national MPA agency members.3. Three knowledge challenges are addressed: selecting and integrating connectivity measurement metrics; assessing the
accuracy and uncertainty of connectivity measurements; and communicating and visualizing connectivity measurements.4. Three management challenges are described: integrating connectivity into the planning and management of
MPA networks; setting quantitative connectivity targets; and implementing connectivity-based managementacross scales and marine jurisdictions.5. Finally, two paths toward a better integration of connectivity science withMPAmanagement are proposed: setting
management-driven priorities for connectivity research, bridging connectivity science, and MPA network management.6. There is no single method to integrate connectivity into marine spatial planning. Rather, an array of methods
can be assembled according to the MPA network objectives, budget, available skills, data, and timeframe.7. Overall, setting up ‘boundary organizations’ should be promoted to organize complex cross-disciplinary,
cross-sectoral and cross-jurisdiction interactions that are needed between scientists, managers, stakeholders anddecision-makers to make informed decision regarding connectivity-based MPA planning and management.Copyright # 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
*Correspondence to: E. Lagabrielle, Université de LaRéunion, ESPACE-Dév (UMR228), SaintDenis, Réunion, France. Email: [email protected]
This article forms part of the supplement ‘Building Networks of MPAs: new insights from IMPAC3’. Publication of this supplement wassupported by IUCNandWCPAwith financial contributions from Parks Canada andUnitedNations Environment Programme (UNEP).
Copyright # 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
AQUATIC CONSERVATION: MARINE AND FRESHWATER ECOSYSTEMS
Aquatic Conserv: Mar. Freshw. Ecosyst. 24(Suppl. 2): 94–110 (2014)
Published online in Wiley Online Library(wileyonlinelibrary.com). DOI: 10.1002/aqc.2500
Received 12 April 2014; Revised 4 July 2014; Accepted 17 July 2014
KEY WORDS: ocean; coastal; conservation evaluation; marine protected areas; spatial modelling; fishing
INTRODUCTION
Connectivity is a crucial process underpinning thepersistence, resilience, and productivity of marineecosystems, including exploited marine species(Kritzer and Sale, 2004; Cowen et al., 2006; Koolet al., 2012; Treml et al., 2012) (Figure 1). Overall,connectivity is a primary driver of marine populationdynamics (Le Corre et al., 2012) at a local andglobal scale.
Connectivity studies commonly focus on specifichabitats, fauna (e.g. fish, turtles, cetaceans, and birdsat different stages of their life cycle) (Jacobson andPeres-Neto, 2010), flora (e.g. propagules of mangroves,seagrasses, algae), or floating objects such as plastics,oil, and driftwood (Treml et al., 2012) at variousspatial and temporal scales (Le Corre et al., 2012).
There has been a recent dramatic increase inresearch effort and a growing diversity of approachesto the study of fish retention and dispersal amongpopulations (see the review of Jones et al., 2009).Many of these studies have attempted to capture thespatial dynamics of marine populations, especiallywith respect to propagule dispersal (Willis et al.,2003; Sale et al., 2005; Cowen et al., 2007).
Understanding and quantifying connectivitybetween habitat patches or spatially disjointedpopulations is key to support the sustainablemanagement of ecosystems by providing the basedata needed for informed decision-making. Thisunderstanding is required to prioritize the allocationof conservation effort in the seascape towards, forinstance, areas acting as central connection nodes in anetwork of protected areas. So far, marine protectedareas (MPA) networks have mainly been set up withfew considerations to connectivity (Magris et al., 2014).
Several definitions of the broader concept of‘connectivity’ can be found in the abundantconnectivity-related literature (Cowen et al., 2007;Sale and Kritzer, 2008; Cowen and Sponaugle, 2009;Kadoya, 2009). The widely accepted definition ofconnectivity is the ‘degree to which the (sea)scapefacilitates or impedes movement among resourcepatches’ (Taylor et al., 1993, 2006). In this paper,connectivity is considered primarily as the flux ofindividuals among geographically separatedsubpopulations, occupying discrete patches, in ametapopulation (Cowen and Sponaugle, 2009; LeCorre et al., 2012).
Seascape connectivity includes both structuralconnectivity, i.e. the physical relationships betweenhabitat patches (which is dynamic and influencedby currents, water stratification, etc.), andfunctional connectivity, i.e. an organism’sbiological and behavioural response to theseascape structure and dynamics (Kool et al.,2012; Baguette et al., 2013; Gerber et al., 2014).
Understanding connectivity between distantpopulations is key to their effective conservation andmanagement (Treml et al., 2008). Theoretical studiessuggest that population connectivity plays a fundamentalrole in local and metapopulation dynamics, communitydynamics and structure, genetic diversity, and theresilience of populations to human exploitation(Hastings and Harrison, 1994; Botsford et al., 2001).
Hogan et al. (2012) suggest that the persistenceand resilience of marine populations in the face of
Figure 1. Three spatial models of intra-specific population structure andtheir associated distribution probability of successful dispersal distance.Small circles are discrete (sub)populations or patches belonging to aregional system are represented by the oval, with dispersal schematizedby arrows. Thick lines define the spatial scale of correlation ofdemographic fluctuations among (sub)populations. Adapted from
Kritzer and Sale (2004).
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disturbances is directly affected by connectivityamong populations. Thus, understanding the magnitudeand pattern of connections among populations andthe temporal variation in these patterns is criticalfor the effective management and conservation ofmarine species.
Connectivity is now widely recognized to be acrucial variable for the design and management ofMPA networks through the effects that movementsof individuals and genes have on population viability,metapopulation persistence, and resilience todisturbance (Almany et al., 2009; Jones et al., 2009;Beger et al., 2014). A ‘well-connected’ MPA networkis assumed to ensure positive spillover effect byseeding non-protected areas (Halpern and Warner,2003; Botsford et al., 2009; Gaines et al., 2010).
In spite of the recent interest and extensiveresearch on connectivity, the effectiveness of the fitof MPA networks with connectivity patterns hasunfortunately received relatively little attention.Indeed, MPA set up remains guided byrepresentation criteria rather than persistence criteria,i.e. criteria related to the ecological processes thatplay an essential role in maintaining ecosystemintegrity across time and space (Kritzer and Sale,2004; Sundblad et al., 2011).
As scientific investigation continues, countries arefacing increasing pressure to achieve the Aichi Target11 at regional and national levels. The overall Aichitarget is to protect, by 2020, at least 10% of marineand coastal habitats (COP10; www.cbd.int/cop10).The ‘Aichi Target 11’ specifically mentions that thosezonal targets should be achieved through a‘well-connected system of (marine) protected areas’.Since the current fraction of the ocean covered byMPAs continues to grow at a relatively slow rate(Spalding et al., 2008; Marinesque et al., 2012), theneed to expand existing protected area networks hasstimulated vigorous debates about their futuredesign (location, size, spatial organization, andflexible zoning) (Rodrigues et al., 2004; Moffittet al., 2011; Gerber et al., 2014). In addition, theadverb ‘well-connected’ implies a sufficientknowledge of connectivity patterns and thresholds.
This paper aims to identify and illustrate the majorchallenges posed by the integration of connectivityinto MPA networks management and design. Thefirst section addresses challenges relative to marine
connectivity sciences (i.e. knowledge challenges), thesecond section aims to identify challenges posed bythe integration of connectivity targets into MPAnetworks (i.e. management challenges), and the thirdsection proposes a road map towards betterintegration of connectivity science within MPAnetwork design and management.
Challenge 1: Selecting and integrating connectivitymeasurement metrics
There are many methods to estimate marineconnectivity already reviewed elsewhere (Jacobsonand Peres-Neto, 2010; Le Corre et al., 2012): directobservation, mark–recapture techniques, acoustictelemetry, analysis of geochemical and geneticmarkers, and biophysical modelling. These methodshave different strengths and weaknesses, and areapplicable to different spatial and temporal scales,and to different species and/or life stages. Since noconsensus has yet emerged on a consistent universalconnectivity metric, each method relies on a specificdefinition of the concept of connectivity (Calabreseand Fagan, 2004; Galpern et al., 2011). In thissection, differences of connectivity estimationmethods and the resulting challenges of comparingand integrating their estimates are briefly described.A solution is then proposed through an appropriatestudy system involving a multidisciplinary approachto help practitioners make more informed decisionsregarding the measurement of connectivity.
Connectivity measurement methods differ in theirapplicability to species (e.g. fish, turtle, cetacean, etc.)and life-cycle stage. The connectivity of juvenile andadult fish can be estimated by the analysis ofchemical and genetic markers, mark–recapturemethods, acoustic telemetry, and satellite telemetry(Lowe et al., 2003; Meyer et al., 2010; Grüss et al.,2011). Larval connectivity cannot be studied usingsatellite telemetry or direct marking, but it can bestudied using genetic parentage analysis (Christieet al., 2010), genetic assignment tests (Saenz-Agudeloet al., 2009), biophysical modelling (Werner et al.,2007), artificial marking of eggs (Jones et al., 2005;Almany et al., 2007), trans-generational marking ofadult females (Thorrold et al., 2006) and directobservation (Shanks et al., 2003). Genetic methodshave been widely used to infer larval (Christie et al.,
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2010) and juvenile (Gaggiotti et al., 2002) connectivity.Assignment tests are effective when the sourcepopulations are well-differentiated, and their precisionincreases with the number of molecular markersavailable and their polymorphism (Manel et al., 2005).When the source populations are too similar, thenassignment tests cannot work. Parentage analysisrequires extensive sampling of all potentially connectedpopulations over different cohorts, including bothadults and offspring, but yields accurate estimates ofconnectivity patterns (Christie et al., 2010). The mainlimitation of parentage analysis is the cost and time ofsampling. Parentage analysis often providesknowledge on one single-generation because samplingis done on a single cohort of offspring. Thus, theestimation of connectivity’s variability requires multi-year studies (i.e. several reproductive seasons).Geochemical methods suffer from similar limitationsas assignment tests. If the source population carriestoo similar of a chemical signature, then it isimpossible to assign offspring to a natal location.
The spatial and temporal scale of applicability isa second difference among estimation methods.Biophysical models can provide connectivityestimates over potentially large spatial scales, suchas entire sea basins or oceans (Cowen et al., 2006;Treml and Halpin, 2012; Andrello et al., 2013)and can be used to derive estimates of connectivityover different years, generations, and evenprojections for the future (Andrello et al., in press, a).Conversely, genetic parentage analysis, geochemicalmarkers, egg marking, and trans-generationalmarking provide estimates of connectivity for onlyone generation. Given the intense sampling effortrequired by these techniques, their applicability isalso restricted to fine spatial scales. Geneticassignment methods are in-between, because theyreveal patterns of connectivity acting over severalgenerations. It seems, therefore, that the connectivityestimates obtained through biophysical modellingcan be compared with those obtained through othermethods, but only at fine spatial and temporal scales.However, one additional complicating factor is thatbiophysical models provide estimates of potentialconnectivity, because they cannot take into accountpost-settlement processes, while other methods provideestimates of realized connectivity. Comparing estimatescan therefore be difficult because post-settlement
processes such as mortality and juvenile movementscan alter connectivity patterns resulting from thelarval dispersal phase (Di Franco et al., 2012). Inaddition, unbiased estimates of connectivity throughbiophysical models are only possible if sufficientknowledge on larval biology is available toparameterize the models, and if there is an adequatelyprecise hydrodynamic model for the study region.While there is a significant body of literature on theinvestigation of source–sink dynamics (Saleet al., 2005; Roff and Zacharias, 2011), verylittle is known about the full extent of their lifecycles for the vast majority of marine species.
Another scientific challenge is to develop a statisticalframework to integrate connectivity estimates derivedthrough different methods. For example, the estimatesof potential connectivity derived from biophysicalmodels can inform on the range of possible values forrealized connectivity. Various connectivity estimatescould be integrated within a Bayesian framework usinga clustering method. For example, the range ofconnectivity estimates obtained using a biophysicalmodel could be used to construct an a priori distributionfor estimating connectivity through geochemical orgenetic analysis. The high-dimensionality of connectivitymeasurements can also be reduced using principalcomponents analysis.
Challenge 2: Assessing the accuracy and uncertaintyof connectivity measurements
Connectivity measurements are estimated valuesand are associated with a degree of uncertainty.Uncertainty is the range of connectivity valueswithin which the true value of connectivity isasserted to exist with some level of confidence.Accuracy is the closeness of agreement betweenmeasured connectivity and its true value (i.e. thevalue accepted as true). Biophysical models oflarval dispersal can provide estimates of connectivityon virtually any spatial and temporal scale. Knowledgeabout key biological processes such as larvalbehaviour, larval mortality, and larval growth isrequired to derive accurate connectivity measurements(Leis, 2007; Treml et al., 2012). Even if all theprocesses known to affect connectivity measurementsin biophysical models can in theory be modelled andintegrated, the real limitation to producing accurate
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model-based connectivity assessments is the scarcity ofknowledge and data about larval biology for mostspecies, especially in natural (non-laboratory)conditions. In particular, larval mortality is anextremely difficult parameter to estimate but knownto greatly affect the accuracy of dispersal models(Cowen et al., 2006). Hydrodynamic models that usecoarse spatial resolution or longer time iterations,provide less accurate estimates of current velocities,which results in less accurate overall connectivityestimates (Gaines et al., 2003; Largier, 2003).
Recognizing these weaknesses and complementarityof methods, the extent of uncertainties, and the factorsaffecting the accuracy of modelled connectivity(i.e. trueness and precision) is important toacknowledge. This is particularly important if theconnectivity research is designed to be communicatedto managers and if the estimates are used to inform thedesign of future MPA networks. Hogan et al. (2012)demonstrate the unpredictable nature of connectivityand highlight the need for more, temporally replicated,empirical measures of connectivity, especially whenusing this information explicitly to inform managementdecisions. Indeed, if temporal variability in the patternand extent of connectivity occurs among populations,connectivity data from multi-year studies would benecessary for confidence in any source–sink patterns.Additionally, researchers should develop furthermethods and tools to communicate around theuncertainty inherent in their results.
Comparing connectivity measurements usingdifferent methods requires matching scientificexpertise on their application to different spatialand temporal scales and different species and lifestages. A solution to this challenge is to delineatea test area where multiple estimation methods canbe simultaneously applied by a multidisciplinaryscientific team. The test area should be small enoughto apply genetic parentage analysis and geochemicalmethods. There should be sufficient expertise onlarval biology to parameterize the biophysicalmodels. The COMPO project (http://www.compo.ird.fr) is one of the first attempts to bridge the gapbetween various estimation methods. The projectfocuses on two species with limited or no adultmovement (the damselfish, Dascyllus aruanus, andthe giant clam, Tridacna maxima), and connectivitymeasurements are derived through biophysical
modelling, genetic parentage analysis, andgeochemical marker analysis. Crochelet et al. (2013)tested a dispersal simulation model against in situobservations of young post-larval fish (otolith-derivedages) to investigate a potential connection between twoislands in the Indian Ocean. This multi-measurementassessment proved useful for future model-basedconnectivity assessments in data-poor regions (Banet al., 2009). Comparing independently measuredconnectivity estimates under similar conditionscontributes to evaluating the accuracy of model-based(low cost per km2) versus field-based (high cost perkm2) connectivity assessments. This comparison is abasis for balancing the cost of each measurementmethod vs. the benefits forMPAnetworkmanagement.
Challenge 3: Communicating and visualizingconnectivity measurements
Using proper terminology to communicate aboutconnectivity measures (e.g. accuracy, uncertainty,trueness, precision, etc.) is needed to facilitateproper communication of results from scientists todecision-makers, the media, and the general public.Communicating connectivity measures to MPAmanagers, decision-makers, and the global publiccan be a complicated and complex task. Visualrepresentations of connectivity results includeconnectivity matrices (Ban et al., 2012), networkmaps displaying nodes linked by lines (Treml et al.,2008; Schill et al., 2012), polylines or pointsrepresenting tracking data, streamlines representingsimulated flows (Rossi et al., 2014), and temporalmaps of larvae densities (Crochelet et al., 2013).New visualization tools include on-line dynamicmaps (e.g. daily turtle tracking data http://seaturtle.org) and simulation models (e.g. CONNIE modelhttp://www.csiro.au/connie2/) accessible throughoutcomputer and smartphone applications (e.g.WhaleAlert downloadable http://stellwagen.noaa.gov/protect/whalealert.html).
When informing on marine spatial managementdecisions, it is also important that the implicationsof uncertainties associated with connectivitymeasurements are communicated. The socialimplication of results (and their uncertainty)shouldn’t be underestimated. For instance, localfisher communities might be strongly affected in
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their daily life by conservation decisions based onconnectivity measurements. Explaining the uncertaintyand incompleteness of the best available connectivitymeasures should be supported by effectivecommunications. Brodlie et al. (2012) propose acomplete review of the visualization methods ofuncertainty associated with those measurements.Morgan et al. (2009) synthesized lessons learned by theclimate change scientific community to improvecommunication regarding uncertainty and include: (a)understanding the audience and the informationthey need regarding connectivity; (b) avoidingcomplex or obscure language; (c) makingconnectivity measurements locally relevant throughcase studies; (d) exploring connectivity visualizationsto provide a range of communication opportunitiesfor audiences; and (e) remembering that the provisionof connectivity data alone will not stimulate action.
Challenge 4: Integrating connectivity into theplanning and management of MPA networks
Maintaining connectivity is widely recognized as anessential objective of marine spatial planning andrecent advances regarding ecosystem connectivitynecessitate increased integration for marine reservedesign (Green et al., 2014). The integration ofconnectivity into marine spatial planning is thesubject of active scientific research, yet applicationsare rare. In a review of 115 marine spatialapplications, Magris et al. (2014) found that mostof the applications had not effectively incorporatedbiological processes such as ecological connectivity.Connectivity knowledge should be used not only forthe placement of new MPAs, but also for evaluatingexisting networks and subsequent adaptivemanagement. Existing MPAs identified as keyconnectivity nodes (i.e. for a population of a givenspecies for instance) should inherit a higher levelof importance or responsibility, becoming prioritysites for connectivity-oriented management. This‘connectivity-oriented management’ should focus onthe maintenance of healthy and dynamic populationsto preserve and increase exchanges within the network.
Given the complexity, time, and cost of acquiringdata for measuring connectivity, the integration ofecological connectivity into the design of MPAnetworks is often made using surrogate measures
of connectivity such as size, shape, and spatialorganization of MPAs (Rouget et al., 2003;Almany et al., 2009). Identifying ‘connectivitysurrogates’ can help MPA network design whiledata collection on connectivity is ongoing (Bodeet al., 2012). However, while connectivity surrogatesmay be a first solution to the problem, they do notexplicitly take into account the effects ofconnectivity on biological processes and the linkbetween biological processes and targets of spatialplanning (see Challenge 5 on connectivity targets).
Graph theory has become a popular tool formodelling the functional connectivity of landscapepatches (Galpern et al., 2011). This approachinforms the ability of a system to offer alternativepathways that can improve overall resilience of anetwork in the face of environmental changes (Albertet al., 2000; Melián and Bascompte, 2002). Indeed,metapopulations or large systems of sub-populationscan be conceived as networks in which nodes aredemes (sub-populations), and the links among themsymbolize the migration paths (Fortuna et al., 2008;Rozenfeld et al., 2008). Connectivity is thus a primecomponent of short- and long-term demographictrajectories of metapopulations systems (Hanski andThomas, 1994; Cerdeira et al., 2005).
Under the conceptual framework of graph theory,candidate sites can be ranked according to theirconnectivity within a network of sites using variousmetrics such as ‘degree centrality’ or ‘betweennesscentrality’ (Calabrese and Fagan, 2004; Rothleyand Rae, 2005; Fuller and Sarkar, 2006; Minor andUrban, 2008). Watson et al. (2011) used realisticestimates of larval dispersal generated from oceancirculation simulations and spatially explicitmetapopulation models to perform suchcalculations. However, these approaches can belimited if they consider connectivity as a stand-aloneentity without accounting for the consequences ofconnectivity for population persistence (Moilanen,2011), commonly used in conservation planning.There have been a few attempts to link connectivityto population dynamics in a spatial planningoptimization framework through the effects ofconnectivity on population persistence. Theseapproaches are promising because they permitconsideration of connectivity not as a feature per se,but rather through its effects on population
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dynamics and thus on population persistence. Severalstudies have improved (marine) protected areasselection algorithms to include objectives ofpopulation persistence in single-species (Moilanenand Cabeza, 2002) or multi-species (Nicholsonet al., 2006) formulations using a variety of viabilitymetrics (Nicholson and Ovaskainen, 2009), includingthe probability of population persistence (Moilanenand Cabeza, 2002), the mean time to extinction(Kininmonth et al., 2011), the number of occupiedhabitat patches (Ovaskainen, 2002), or themetapopulation capacity (Hanski and Ovaskainen,2000; Nilsson Jacobi and Jonsson, 2011; Andrelloet al., in press, b), which all depend on connectivity.The sites selection algorithm optimizes at least one ofthese metrics to make the persistence target becomean operational part of conservation planning(Moilanen and Cabeza, 2002; Nicholson et al.,2006). These methods can be applied to real systemsbut are not in the form of user-friendly softwaretools. Marxan (Ball et al., 2009) and Zonation(Moilanen and Kujala, 2008), the most frequentlyused conservation software for MPA network design,can be used to explicitly consider connectivity as acriterion to optimize the selection of candidate sitesfor protection. However, they do not considerspecific targets of population persistence and theinfluence of connectivity on population dynamics todrive the selection algorithm. Rather, they usehabitat continuity as a measure of landscapeconnectivity (Ball et al., 2009; Lehtomäki andMoilanen, 2013) and implicitly assume thatconnectivity is a function of geographic distance. Nouser-friendly software integrates connectivity as adynamic and iterative process. The challenge can bemet by integrating the persistence-oriented algorithmsfor protected area selection into tools such as Marxanand Zonation. This requires not only modifyingthe software, but also an effort of conceptualsynthesis between persistence-oriented criteria andrepresentation based criteria. A multi-objectiveoptimization framework (e.g. Marxan with Zones)should be used as a starting point to construct awider framework where connectivity and populationpersistence are considered simultaneously with othercriteria to drive the protected area selection process.Population persistence criteria should be targetedrather than connectivity per se.
The inclusion of persistence-oriented criteria intomulti-objective and multi-species spatial planning toolsis only a first step into the consideration ofconnectivity in marine spatial planning. Indeed, thereare many biological processes that are affected byseascape connectivity. As discussed, populationdynamics has received considerable attention in spatialplanning, but other processes, such as adaptation toenvironmental change and gene flow, should beincluded in conservation planning and associated withconnectivity. For example, the spread of heat-resistantgenes from resistant populations to vulnerable onescan help the latter ones adapt to warming waterconditions expected under climate change. It isrecommended that this process be taken into accountwhen planning for the location of future MPAs(Mumby et al., 2011). Connectivity also influencesgene flow and the maintenance of genetic diversity,which is related to the potential of a species being ableto adapt to novel environmental conditions. Indeed,genetic diversity is sometimes considered as a specifictarget of conservation planning (Vandergast et al.,2008), but the link among connectivity, gene flow,genetic diversity, and spatial planning has yet to bedeveloped. Lastly, the effect of connectivity betweenprotected and unprotected areas has not receivedenough attention in site selection algorithms, despitethe fundamental importance of MPAs as a sourceof propagules for fisheries.
Thus, the challenge of integrating connectivity intoMPA network design can be addressed by (1)developing conceptual links between connectivity (i.e. afeature of the seascape), biological processes(i.e. population dynamics, gene flow, adaptation, larvalsupply to fished areas), and specific targets for spatialplanning (such as ensuring population persistence,maintaining genetic diversity and adaptive potential,increasing fishery yield); and (2) developing site selectionalgorithms based on specific targets and integrationwithin a comprehensive multi-objective andmulti-species framework for spatial planning.
Challenge 5: Setting quantitative connectivity targets
Despite advances in conservation planning protocolsduring the last two decades, no clear explicit methodexists for assigning quantitative objectives (i.e.targets) to ecological processes and therefore a
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critical need remains to better understandapproaches to setting objectives for connectivity(Rouget et al., 2003; Magris et al., 2014).Quantitative objectives in conservation are essentialto support informed, accountable and defensibledecision-making regarding marine spatial planning(Game et al., 2013).
Connectivity targets are generally set ad hoc,without rationale (e.g. ‘rule of thumb’) (Magriset al., 2014). They are rarely based on quantitativeecological justifications (Watson et al., 2011; Bodeet al., 2012). Quantitative targets, however, can beset for spatial connectivity surrogates (Bode et al.,2012) in terms of area and number of replicates.For example, a surface target can be calculated formajor connectivity pathways, source or destinationpatches, or as a percentage of their total area(Rouget et al., 2003). Connectivity targets can alsobe set through connectivity-related parameterssuch as the minimum size of MPAs, the minimumnumber of MPAs, and the spacing, grouping andalignment of MPAs (Magris et al., 2014).Quantitative connectivity targets can also beexpressed for demographic and genetic connectivity.Although demographic and genetic connectivity areboth often implicitly assumed when dealing withMPA connectivity, it is important to underline cleardifferences between both concepts (Lowe andAllendorf, 2010). Demographic connectivity reflectsthe level of migration needed to significantly influencethe demography of receiving subpopulations, withoutaccounting for the fact those migrants may, or maynot, reproduce and contribute to the gene pool ofthe next generation. Quantitative demographicconnectivity targets can be set to the ‘migrationrate,’ for instance, as a minimum percentage ofincoming migrants that subpopulations may rely on.Genetic connectivity, in turn, does not necessarilyrequire the rate of migrants to significantly affect thedemography of the receiving subpopulations, butcan be ensured only if a minimum number ofmigrants effectively reproduce with the receivingsubpopulation. Genetic connectivity, therefore,reflects the ‘effective migration’ or the number ofmigrants that will effectively contribute to theexchange of genes among subpopulations. Thus,genetic connectivity can be maintained through avery modest amount of migration (e.g. a low
quantitative genetic connectivity target), not necessarilysufficient to ensure a significant demographic input toreceiving subpopulations. Demographic connectivitytargets will equal genetic connectivity targets only incases where immigrants reproduce and transmit theirgenes. Consequently, it is important to acknowledgethat the coherence of an MPA network should beinferred by ensuring both levels of connectivity aremaintained through adequate demographic andconnectivity targets, a task that often requires distinctapproaches and evaluation processes. It is thus amultispecies, complex problem in need of robustbiological data representative of the communitiestargeted and modelling of a broad range of dispersalscenarios. For example, Coleman et al. (2011)showed great differences in the pattern of geneticconnectivity for three species of habitat-formingmacroalgae along the east coast of Australia, withsubtidal species showing higher levels of connectivityacross larger distances than intertidal ones.
Challenge 6: Implementing connectivity-basedmanagement across scales and marine jurisdictions
Marine spatial planning often mismatches themulti-scalar nature of ecological patterns andprocesses (Mills et al., 2010). The need to addressmultiple scales in marine spatial planning is widelyacknowledged but rarely implemented in practice(Agardy et al., 2011). MPA networks are generallydesigned at a single scalar level (i.e. regional,national or provincial scale), whereas a nestedapproach at a different spatial scale is recommendedto examine the interactions of phenomena, eithersocial or ecological, across multiple scales (Cashet al., 2006; Gilliland and Laffoley, 2008). Agardyet al. (2011) and Mills et al. (2010) suggestintegrating marine protected area planning intobroader marine spatial planning and ocean zoningefforts. The design of MPA networks is an exampleof broader scale efforts of marine spatial planning.Nevertheless, the integration of other multi-scaleecological and social processes is still needed toachieve fully integrated and spatially nested oceanzoning (Green et al., 2014). Several studies suggest thatconfronting marine biodiversity erosion, including thedisruption of connectivity processes, is going to requireregional collaboration and a major scaling-up of
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management efforts that are focused on increasingknowledge of ecological processes that underlie marineecosystems resilience (Hogan et al., 2012).
Countries need to work collaboratively tounderstand patterns in larval dispersal, how distantpopulations rely on one another, and collaborativelydesign strategic MPA networks that protect andmanage important ecological connections betweenpopulations across multiple marine jurisdictions (Tremland Halpin, 2012). The ongoing European-fundedPANACHE project between the United Kingdomand France is an illustrative case study of broaderocean zoning efforts across national marinejurisdictions. The aim of PANACHE is to developa stronger and more coherent approach to themanagement, monitoring, and involvement ofstakeholders for MPAs in the English Channelbetween England and France. Connectivity hasbeen used as one of the criteria to carry out theassessment of the ecological coherence of theChannel MPA network (Foster et al., 2014). A firstapproach was to use distance-based thresholds toassess the spacing of MPAs against typical dispersaldistances of the features of interest (habitats andspecies associated with a habitat). The thresholdsused come from guidance provided to support thedevelopment of the English MPA network (Robertset al., 2010). This simplified approach is currentlyfollowed up by an assessment of the connectivityamong the Channel MPA network using ahydrodynamic model for 55 groups of speciesrepresenting 151 species of interest of the Channel(e.g. species under protection status, species ofcommercial interest) complemented by enhanceddispersal modelling of the common sole (Soleasolea), taking into account the life cycle of thespecies and different egg and larval behaviour.Analyses have shown significant gaps in terms ofcross-border connectivity. However, cluster analysisidentifies groups of MPAs that could sharecommon management issues. Beyond the results, anincreased collaboration between scientificorganizations and national MPA agencies of theUnited Kingdom and France have advancedcoordination of scientific research and marineconservation priorities. Indeed, it is critical tocollectively set both the connectivity modellingassumptions and the ecological features of interest
in order to make the results more useful for MPAplanning and establish coordinated managementactions across national marine jurisdictions.
Another example of a regional andmulti-jurisdictionalMPA network planning effort is the CaribbeanChallenge Initiative (CCI), launched in 2008 at theCBD Ninth Meeting of the Parties (COP-9). Agrowing number of Caribbean governments havepledged to expand their MPA systems to include atleast 20% of their coastal and nearshore areas by2020, to develop sustainable financing for thesesystems, and to adopt adaptive management toensure long-term viability for marine systems.Figure 2 shows an example of coral reef connectivitysimulation that is being used to strengthen regionalMPA network planning and design in theframework of the CCI (Schill et al., 2012). Workingcollaboratively, small island governments have thepotential to achieve greater resource leverage andbuild stronger political will that is more likely tosolve complex regional issues such as maintainingconnectivity corridors. Large-scale results can bemore easily achieved when high level commitmentsare made under a comprehensive structure forimplementation where lessons can be shared andregional capacity increased. By strengtheninglinkages to global agreements, conservation becomesmore relevant to domestic development agendas,which often catalyses the collective commitments ofneighbouring leaders.
Challenge 7: Setting management-driven prioritiesfor connectivity research
Recently, there has been a dramatic increase inresearch efforts and a growing diversity ofapproaches to better understand marine connectivity,including larval retention and dispersal amongpopulations (see the review of Jones et al., 2009).Many of these studies have attempted to capture thespatial dynamics of marine populations (Willis et al.,2003; Sale et al., 2005; Cowen et al., 2007).However, no framework exists to guide resultstowards conservation-based or fishery-based priorityareas or species.
Setting management-based priorities for connectivityresearch is required to focus scarce research effortson issues identified with conservation and fisheries
E. LAGABRIELLE ET AL.102
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managers. Such priorities can be expressed in termsof species, groups of species, subpopulations,populations, regions, habitat types, habitat patches,connectivity pathways, and other spatial connectivitysurrogates. Priorities can also be set in terms of fieldresearch (e.g. model-based connectivity assessment,genetics, etc.). From this point of view, managementconstraints (i.e. limited time and money) are acomponent of research questions, to identifymanagement-oriented solutions to supportconnectivity-based MPA network management.However, this is not to say that research should beguided by management, but that research effort inthe field of ecological connectivity should bemaximized in terms of its potential impact on theway MPA networks are planned and managed.Research priorities should be set throughcollaboration between scientists and managers (seeChallenge 8 for the organization of collaboration).
Thus far, a strong focus has also been made ondefining areas that encompass patrimonial oremblematic species, and species targeted asresources or ecosystems considered as vulnerable.Representativity has therefore been a primary focus.Assessing the connectivity of those targeted speciesand habitats requires a greater research effort
(Huston, 1994; Stachowicz, 2001; Bruno et al., 2003).It is by no means possible to gain an exhaustiveinventory of marine communities associated with agiven ecosystem, therefore it is extremely importantto be able to define a representative set of species thatwill, through their importance in maintainingecosystem functions (e.g. habitat forming, primaryproducers, etc.) and communities interactions (e.g.apex predators, etc.), be essential for communities,thus contributing to ecosystem persistence. To thispurpose, future marine conservation policies shouldlist priority features (e.g. representative species interms of migratory behaviour) that connectivityresearch efforts should focus on.
The choice of priority species or habitats forconnectivity assessments must take into accountpriorities identified within international and nationalpolicies. International conventions and protocolsprovide lists of features of conservation importance,such as the Bonn convention for migratory speciesand the regional seas conventions and protocols (i.e.the Barcelona Convention for the Mediterranean Sea,the OSPAR Convention for the North-east Atlantic,and the Nairobi Convention for the Western IndianOcean). Similarly, many countries have adapted ordeveloped their own national lists of species and
Figure 2. Modelled connections of coral larval retention rates between mapped Caribbean reef units using NOAA’s Real Time Ocean Forecast System(RTOFS) data for the years 2008–2011 (Schill et al., 2012). Identified nodes indicate important coral larvae source and sink areas that can be used to
inform and support regional MPA network planning for the Caribbean Challenge Initiative.
CONNECTING MPAS - EIGHT CHALLENGES FOR SCIENCE AND MANAGEMENT 103
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habitats to provide guidance for MPA networksdesign. From a European waters perspective, theBirds and Habitats Directives have been key driverstoward the development of regional MPA networks,according to the lists of species and habitats referencedin the annexes of those directives. Likewise, the MarineStrategy Framework Directive (MSFD), formallyadopted by the European Union in 2008, outlines alegislative framework to reach good ecologicalstatus of the European marine water through anecosystem-based approach tomarine spatial planning.
Challenge 8: Bridging connectivity science and MPAnetwork management
Integrating connectivity knowledge into MPAnetwork planning and management continues tobe a challenge from both a science and policyperspective (McCook et al., 2010). This challengeis echoed in the Aichi Target 19, ‘By 2020,knowledge, the science base and technologiesrelating to biodiversity, its values, functioning,
status and trends, and the consequences of its loss,are improved, widely shared and transferred, andapplied.’ One way to address this challenge is toestablish an organization aimed at structuringinteractions among a diverse group of actors (i.e.scientists, MPA managers, decision-makers, andmultisectoral stakeholders) with the collective goalof integrating connectivity into MPA networksplanning. Members of this group already belong toexisting organizations such as public institutions,private companies, or NGOs. There is a need tobuild linkages among such organizations to ensurea continuum from connectivity research to MPAmanagement across scales and marine jurisdictions.
The concept of a ‘bridging organization’ isparticularly relevant to frame interactions amongmembers of single existing organizations. Bridgingorganizations aim at linking multiple actors fromdifferent sectors to solve problems that neitheractor would have been able to tackle on their own(Crona and Parker, 2012). The bridging oforganizations will expand communication channels
Figure 3. The conceptual framework developed under the MARCO initiative in France to provide a bridge between connectivity science communitiesand MPA management communities.
E. LAGABRIELLE ET AL.104
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Tab
le1.
Summaryof
find
ings
perchalleng
e
Challenge
Recom
mendations(m
ethod,
tool,a
dviceor
action)
Scale
1:Selecting
andintegratingconnectivity
measurementmetrics
Measuring
adultsandjuveniles
connectivity
Chemical
andgeneticmarkers
Local
Mark-recapturemetho
dsLocal
Acoustictelemetry
Local
Satellite
telemetry
Regiona
l
Measuring
larval
connectivity
Genetic
parentagean
alysis
Local
Genetic
assign
menttests
Local
Artificial
marking
ofeggs
Local
Transgeneration
almarking
ofad
ultfemales
Local
Directob
servation
Local
Bioph
ysical
mod
ellin
gRegiona
l
Integratingmultiplemeasurements
Bayesiannetw
ork
Regiona
lPrincipal
compo
nent
analysis
Regiona
lClustering
Regiona
l
2:Assessing
theaccuracy
anduncertaintyof
connectivity
measurements
Decreasinguncertainty
Increase
know
ledg
eon
biolog
ical
processes
Local
Increase
accuracy
ofhy
drod
ynam
icmod
elsin
biop
hysicalmod
els
Regiona
l
Assessing
accuracy
anduncertainty
Com
pare
multi-m
etho
dsestimates
inalocaltestarea
Local
Multi-disciplinaryresearch
Local
&Regiona
lBalan
cemeasurementcostspermetho
dvs.b
enefitsforMPA
netw
orkman
agem
ent
Local
&Regiona
l
3:Com
municatingandvisualizingconnectivity
measurements
Com
municatingconnectivity
measurement
Use
aprop
erterm
inolog
yLocal
&Regiona
lAssociate
conn
ectivity
estimates
withalevelof
accuracy
andun
certainty
Local
&Regiona
lExp
lain
uncertaintyan
ditsim
plications
Local
&Regiona
lUnd
erstan
dtheau
dience
andtheinform
ationthey
need
onconn
ectivity
Local
&Regiona
lAvo
idcomplex
orob
scurelang
uage
Local
&Regiona
lMak
econn
ectivity
measurementlocally
relevant
throug
hcase
stud
ies
Local
&Regiona
l
Visualizingconnectivity
measurement
Exp
lore
conn
ectivity
visualizations
toprov
idearang
eof
commun
icationop
portun
ities
Regiona
lCon
nectivitymatrix
Regiona
lCon
nectivitymap
s(network,
tracking
,densities,etc.)
Regiona
lDyn
amic
map
visualization
Regiona
lOn-lin
evisualizationon
compu
teran
dsm
artpho
neRegiona
l
(Continues)
CONNECTING MPAS - EIGHT CHALLENGES FOR SCIENCE AND MANAGEMENT 105
Copyright # 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Aquatic Conserv: Mar. Freshw. Ecosyst. 24(Suppl. 2): 94–110 (2014)
Tab
le1.
(Con
tinu
ed)
Challenge
Recom
mendations(m
ethod,
tool,a
dviceor
action)
Scale
4:Integratingconnectivity
into
theplanning
andmanagem
entof
MPA
networks
Integratingconnectivity
into
spatialplanning
Develop
practicalcase
stud
ies
Regiona
lAdjustthesize,shap
ean
dspatialo
rgan
izationof
MPAs
Regiona
lMap
spatialconn
ectivity
surrog
ates
(cheap
andrapid)
Regiona
l
Integratingconnectivity
into
spatial
planning
software
Develop
grap
h-theory-based
mod
ellin
gforsite
conn
ectivity
rank
ing
Regiona
lIntegrateconn
ectivity
andpo
pulation
persistencecriteria
into
optimizationalgo
rithms
Globa
lDevelop
user-friendlyspatialplan
ning
softwarethat
integrates
dyna
mic
conn
ectivity
Globa
l
5:Setting
quantitative
connectivity
targets
Setting
feature-basedtargets
Minim
umarea
andnu
mberof
patchesformajor
conn
ectivity
pathways(and
othersurrog
ates)
Regiona
lMinim
umarea
andnu
mberof
patchesforsource
and/
ordestinationpa
tches
Regiona
l
Setting
flow
-based
targets
Minim
ummigration
rate
perpa
tch,
(sub
)pop
ulation,
MPA
and/
orfortheentire
MPA
netw
ork
Regiona
l
Setting
MPA-based
targets
Minim
umarea
andnu
mberof
MPAs
Regiona
lSp
acing,
grou
ping
andalignm
entof
MPAs
Regiona
l
6:Im
plem
enting
connectivity-based
managem
entacross
scales
andmarinejurisdictions
Managingconnectivity
across
scales
and
marinejurisdictions
Implem
entaspatially
nested
approa
chLocal
®ion
alIntegrateMPA
netw
orkplan
ning
inbroa
deroceanzoning
efforts
Local
®ion
alDevelop
cross-coun
try,
multi-sectoralcoop
erations
Local
®ion
alOpp
ortunity
forgo
vernmentsto
achievebroa
der-scaleob
jectives
Local
®ion
al
7:Setting
managem
ent-driven
priorities
forconnectivity
research
Setting
priorities
interm
sof
biodiversity
features
Focus
scarce
research
effortson
priority
conn
ectivity
issues
Regiona
lSetresearch
priorities
viaacolla
boration
betw
eenscientistsan
dman
agers
Regiona
lSetresearch
priorities
forspecies,region
s,an
dha
bitatstypes
Regiona
lIdentify
priority
conn
ectivity
features
forfuture
marineconservation
policies
Regiona
l
Setting
priorities
interm
sof
research
Setresearch
priorities
forconn
ectivity
measurementmetho
dsRegiona
lIntegrateman
agem
entconstraints(cost,time,
skills,etc.)into
research
Regiona
lPromoteinter-disciplin
aryconn
ectivity
research
Regiona
l
8:B
ridgingconnectivity
scienceandMPA
networkmanagem
ent
Promotingcooperationbetweenscience
andmanagem
ent
Organizeinteractions
amon
gscientists,M
PAmanagers,decisio
nmakers,andmulti-sectoralstakeholders
Local
®ion
alSetu
p“bridgingorganizatio
n”,linking
governmentinstitutions,N
GOs,sciencegrou
ps,and
MPA
agencies
Local
®ion
al
E. LAGABRIELLE ET AL.106
Copyright # 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Aquatic Conserv: Mar. Freshw. Ecosyst. 24(Suppl. 2): 94–110 (2014)
linking stakeholders, policy makers, and scientistsaltogether. Brown (1991) argued that the idea ofbridging organizations is key to an emerging‘multisectoral’ development paradigm. Suchinteractions are designed to relate different scales ofgovernance and provide arenas for knowledge sharing,collaboration, and learning, and overall adaptiveco-management (Leys and Vanclay, 2011). Theunderlying hypothesis of ‘bridging organizations’is that collective learning, through iteration, issuperior to fragmented knowledge distributedamong single organizations. In the case of marineconservation planning, those organizations aregovernment institutions, NGOs, science groups,and MPA agencies. The Large Marine Ecosystem(LME) organization implements ecosystem-basedmanagement and is currently underway in 110economically developing countries. It is a soundexample of a bridging organization between scienceand management across marine jurisdictions(Sherman, 2014). The Great Barrier Reef (GBR)also provides a globally significant demonstrationof the effectiveness of large-scale networks ofmarine reserves in contributing to integrated,adaptive management by linking up scientists withMPAs managers (McCook et al., 2010). In France,the research group on Marine Connectivity(MARCO) is an illustrative example of a bridgingorganization dedicated to marine connectivityissues. MARCO brings together scientists involvedin connectivity assessment in distinct fields(modelling, tagging, tracking, or populationgenetics) with executive officers of the French MPAagency. The first output of this collaboration is aconceptual framework (Figure 3) that organizesinteractions among scientists and MPA agencyofficers along a conservation planning process:definition of objectives, connectivity assessment(e.g. methods, field data collection, data analysis),and communication of results. This frameworkaims to improve the design and the management ofthe French MPA network by easing and framinginteractions among scientist and managers.
CONCLUSION
This paper identified eight challenges toward theintegration of connectivity into MPA network
management and planning. As a summary offindings, Table 1 lists the main recommendationsin terms of methods, tools, advice, or actions toaddress each of those challenges. There is not asingle method to integrate connectivity into marinespatial planning. Rather, an array of potentialsolutions can be assembled according to the MPAnetwork objectives, area, budget, available skills,data, and timeframe. Addressing each challenge isa complex task and requires inter-disciplinarityand cross-sectoral cooperation between scientists,managers, stakeholders, and decision-makers. Settingup boundary organizations will promote thiscooperation to make informed decisions regardingconnectivity measurement methods, quantitativeconnectivity targets set up, visualization of connectivitymeasurements (estimates and uncertainties), andoverall, MPA network planning and management.
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
We thank John Baxter and two anonymous reviewersfor their helpful comments on a first version of thispaper. This article is based upon the contribution ofthe participants to the session entitled ‘toward well-connected (and representative) MPA network’ of theIMPAC 3 conference held in Marseille, 21–27 October2013. Erwann Lagabrielle and Estelle Crochelet,grantees of the MASMA program MOZALINK(Linking marine science, traditional knowledge andcultural perceptions of the sea in the MozambiqueChannel to build tomorrow’s marine management usingspatial simulation tools and educational game)acknowledge the assistance of WIOMSA (WesternIndian Ocean Marine Science Association). Thisarticle is also a product of the French network onMarine Connectivity (GDRMarCo).
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