Questionnaire Macroeco Convergence Eng

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    United Nations Economic Commission for Africa

    Trade, Finance and Economic Development Division

    Questionnaire

    Macroeconomic policies and convergence

    In recent years the debate between proponents of macroeconomic stability as the ultimate goal ofmacroeconomic policy and those who advocate for pro-growth pro-poor alternative

    macroeconomic policies has intensified. The recent growth recovery in Africa has beenattributed partly to improved macroeconomic stability. However, higher growth has not been

    translated into employment creation and poverty reduction. Thus, African countries areconfronted with the challenges of both raising and sustaining the trend growth rate and

    increasing the impact of growth on poverty reduction. The goal of this survey is to collectinformation on macroeconomic policymaking and implementation in African countries. The

    results of the survey will provide input into ECAs analysis of pro-poor macroeconomic policies.

    In order to get the views of African countries on the design and implementation of

    macroeconomic policies, the UN Economic Commission for Africa has designed thisquestionnaire and would appreciate if you could please take the time to complete all the sections.The questionnaire has been designed explicitly so as to protect the identity of respondent.

    Please send the completed questionnaire to ECA by mail, fax or email to the address below,

    preferably before 30 June 2008.

    Address

    Tsedale Demissie Susanna Wolf

    UNECA/TFED UNECA/TFEDP.O.BOX 3005 P.O.BOX 3005

    Addis Ababa, Ethiopia Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

    Tel: +251-11-544-3297 Tel: +251-11-544-3297

    Fax: +251-11-551-3038 Fax: +251-11-551-3038

    Email: [email protected] Email: [email protected]

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    General Information

    01 - Please indicate your country:

    02 - In which institution do you currently work?

    Central Bank

    Ministry of Finance/Planning/Economic DevelopmentOther ministry, please specifyResearch Institution/University

    NGOPrivate Sector Organization

    Other (please specify):

    PART I: National Development Policies

    I.1 - In your opinion, what should be the 3 most important objectives of national developmentpolicy?

    Poverty reductionHigh growth

    EmploymentMacroeconomic stability

    Low inflationIndustrial development

    Social equityOther (please specify):

    I.2 - What do you consider as the key national development strategy of your country?

    Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers (PRSPs)MDG-based national plans

    Medium Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF)Other Action Plan (please specify)

    I.3 - What are the three main objectives of these plans (rank the three most important for each

    objective)?

    PRSP MDGs MTEF Other (please specify)

    Poverty reduction

    High growth

    Employment

    Macroeconomic stability

    Low inflation

    Industrial development

    Agricultural developmentSocial equity

    Other (please specify):

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    I.4 - To what extent has employment creation in your country been integrated into the nationaldevelopment strategies?

    Fully Only partially Not at all

    I.5 - Who is effectively in charge of national strategies?

    PRSP MDGs Other (please specify)

    Office of the President

    Prime Minister

    Ministry of Finance and Planning

    Central Bank

    Other (please specify):

    I.6 - What is your assessment of the participatory nature of the policy making process?

    Highly participatoryAdequately participatory

    Not participatory enoughNot participatory at all

    I.7 - What other actors participate in the process of elaboration of the main development

    strategies?National research institutions

    NGOs

    Business associationsInternational Institutions (World Bank, UNDP, EU, etc)Other (please specify)

    I.8 - In your opinion, in which 3 areas did your country make most progress in achieving the

    MDGs? (Please rank them by order of importance starting with 1 for most important)Poverty reduction

    Universal primary education

    Gender equity and women empowerment

    Reducing child mortality

    Improving Maternal health

    Combating HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases

    Environmental sustainability

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    I.9 - Do you find that poverty in your country is

    Declining Stagnating Increasing

    I.10 - Over the next 5-10 years, do you expect poverty in your country toDecline Stagnate Increase

    I.11 - Do you find inflation in your countryToo high Reasonable level

    I.12 - Who suffers the most from inflation between

    - Rural and urban dwellers: rural workers urban workers

    - Wage workers and self-employed: wage workers self-employed

    - Employees in the public sector and private sector: public sector private sector

    I.13 - How do you assess the degree of the governments attention to the problem of inflation?Too high (exaggerated) Reasonably high Not enough Not at all

    I.14 - How do you assess the degree of the governments attention to the problem of

    unemployment?Too high (exaggerated) Reasonably high Not enough Not at all

    I.15 - Over the past decade or so, has unemployment in your country

    Increased Stagnated Decreased

    I.16 - Over the next 5-10 years, do you expect unemployment in your country toDecline Stagnate Increase

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    I.17 Which main 3 sectors in your country have the highest potential to spur growth andemployment? (Please rank, with 1 indicating highest)

    Agriculture

    Industry

    Minerals

    Oil

    Manufacturing

    Mining

    ServicesTourism

    I.18 - What do you consider as the 3 main constraints to attracting FDI? (Please rank them by

    order of importance starting with 1 for most important)Macroeconomic instability

    Political instability

    Unskilled labor

    Perceptions by foreign investors vis--vis Africa

    Excessive regulation

    Underdeveloped financial markets

    Other (please specify)

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    I.19 - What do you consider as the 3 key constraints to domestic saving? (Please rank them by

    order of importance starting with 1 for most important)Low income

    Low interest rate

    Macroeconomic instability

    Inflation

    Political instability

    Unskilled labor

    Anti-Africa bias

    Excessive regulation

    Access to financial institutions

    Other (please specify)

    I.20 - What do you consider as the 3 main obstacles to the mobilization of domestic resources

    (private and public)? (Please rank them by order of importance starting with 1 for mostimportant)

    Low interest ratesMacroeconomic instability

    Corruption

    Weak infrastructure

    Lack of capacity

    Low income

    Inefficient financial intermediation

    Other (please specify)

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    I.21 - What should be the main 3 policy responses to the recent increases in food prices? (Pleaserank them by order of importance starting with 1 for most important)

    Restrictive monetary policy to constrain inflation

    Food price controls

    Restricting food exports

    Reducing domestic taxes on food

    Reducing restrictions on food imports

    Build/use strategic grain reserves

    Introduce/expand protection programmes for vulnerable groups

    Expand agricultural research and extension programmes

    Other (please specify)

    I.22 - What should be the policy responses to the high and rising oil prices? (Please rank them byorder of importance starting with 1 for most important)

    Restrictive monetary policy to constrain inflation

    Subsidize oil imports

    Controls on oil prices at pump stations

    International support for oil importing countries

    Other (please specify)

    PART II: Specific macroeconomic policies

    Institutional aspects

    II.1 - In what areas is your country undertaking public sector reforms? (please check all relevant)Tax structure and administration

    Expenditure managementFighting corruption

    PrivatizationOther (please specify)

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    II.2 - What is your assessment of the collaboration and cooperation among different governmentagencies in policy making?

    Effective Somewhat effective Not effective Inexistent

    II.3 - Is the division of labor among ministries clear regarding the formulation and

    implementation of national development plans?Clear enough Somewhat clear Not clear

    Monetary policy

    II.4 - Who has effective control over monetary policy?Central Bank

    Office of the PresidentPrime Minister

    Ministry of Finance and PlanningOther (please specify)

    II.5 - What are the main targets for monetary policy?

    InflationGrowth

    EmploymentExchange rate stability

    Other (please specify)

    II.6 - Is your country member of a monetary union (such as the CFA franc zone)? Yes No

    If yes, is this a constraint to monetary policy? Yes No

    II.7 - In your view, what are the three most important factors driving inflation in your country?

    (please rank them by order of importance starting with 1 for most important)Food prices

    Public utilities

    Transport

    Energy

    External factors

    Public consumption

    Private consumption

    Imported inflation

    Other (please specify)

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    II.8 - In your opinion, which 3 tools are most effective in controlling inflation? (please rank themby order of importance starting with 1 for most important)

    Interest rate adjustment

    Control of money supply

    Exchange rate adjustment

    Other (please specify)

    II.9 - Has the Central Bank been successful in controlling inflation?Very successful Somewhat successful Not successful

    II.10 - Do you find the national currency overvalued, reasonably valued, or undervalued?

    Overvalued If so, what causes overvaluation?Central Banks regulation

    Strong economic performance (e.g., rising exports)High external resource inflows (private capital, aid)

    External factorsReasonably valued

    Undervalued If so, what causes undervaluation?

    Central Banks regulationWeak economic performance

    External factors

    II.11 - Does your country impose restrictions on capital flows? Yes No

    If so, should they be maintained? Yes No

    II.12 - Is the monetary policymaking process transparent?

    Very transparent Somewhat transparent Not transparent

    Fiscal policy

    II.13 - Who has effective control over fiscal policy

    Ministry of Finance and PlanningOffice of the President

    Prime MinisterThe Central Bank

    Other (please specify)

    II.14 - What are the main targets for fiscal policy? (please check all that apply)Fiscal balance

    InflationGrowth

    EmploymentOther (please specify)

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    II.15 - Is the fiscal policymaking process transparent?

    Very transparent Somewhat transparent Not transparent

    II.16 - How do you assess the role of parliament in the budget process and monitoring of public

    finance? Very effective Effective Not effective

    II.17 Has your government started gender sensitive budgeting?For all sectors For some sectors Not at all

    II.18 - What should be the 3 priority sectors in planning and allocation of government

    expenditures? (Please rank them by order of importance starting with 1 for most important)Public infrastructure

    Health

    Education

    Security

    Social infrastructure

    Other (please specify)

    II.19 - What are the 3 main sources of government revenue? (Please rank with 1 indicating most

    important)VAT

    Profit tax

    Income tax

    Trade tax

    Royalties

    Donor support

    II.20 - Has the government been effective in mobilizing domestic revenue?Very successful Somewhat successful Not successful

    II.21 - Is the budget deficit a major problem in your country?

    Very much Somewhat a problem Not a problem

    II.22 - What is the main cause of the deficit?Insufficient revenue Excessive spending by government External factors

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    II.23 - To address the problem of the deficit, what are your top 3 recommendations for the

    government torely on (Please rank with 1 indicating highest priority)New taxes

    Higher taxation

    Higher borrowing from domestic market

    Higher borrowing from abroad

    More aid

    Cutting spending

    II.24 - How do you assess tax policy and administration in your country?

    Effective Somehow effective Ineffective

    II.25 - What are the 3 main constraints to effective tax revenue mobilization? (please rank themby order of importance starting with 1 for most important)

    Lack of capacity

    Corruption

    Low income

    Impunity of tax evasion

    Other (please specify)

    II.26 - What is your assessment of your countrys domestic debt level?Very high High Reasonable Low Not a problem at all

    II. 27 - What is your assessment of your countrys external debt level?

    Very high High Reasonable Low Not a problem at all

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    II. 28 - What are the 3 main sources of your external debt problem? (please rank them by orderof importance starting with 1 for most important)

    High world interest rate

    Maturity mismatch

    Volatile exchange rate

    Extensive borrowing

    Low growth rate

    Others (please specify)

    Financial sector policies

    II.29 - Do you find the lending interest rates in your country

    Too high Reasonable level Too low

    II.30 - Do you find the deposit interest rates in your countryToo high Reasonable level Too low

    II.31 - What do you consider as the 3 main causes of high interest rates? (please rank them by

    order of importance starting with 1 for most important)High inflation

    Lack of competition in the banking sector

    Central Bank policy (restrictive monetary policy)

    High credit risk

    Macroeconomic instability and uncertainty

    Other (please specify)

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    II.32 - What are the 3 main factors of the low level of lending by banks? (please rank them byorder of importance starting with 1 for most important)

    High inflation

    Lack of competition in the banking sector

    Central Bank policy (limiting domestic credit)

    High credit risk

    Macroeconomic instability and uncertainty

    Excessive government borrowing

    Other (please specify)

    II.33 - What is your assessment of Central Banks supervision and regulation of financialinstitutions?

    Effective Somehow effective Ineffective

    II.34 - What are the 3 key constraints to effective banking supervision and regulation? (pleaserank them by order of importance starting with 1 for most important)

    Inadequate rules and procedures (obsolete, not adapted to circumstances)

    Lack of technical capacity (at the Central Bank)

    Political interference

    The Judicial

    Other (please specify)

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    II.35 - What do you consider as the main causes of bank failures in your country? (please rank

    them by order of importance starting with 1 for most important)High credit risk

    Macroeconomic instability and uncertainty

    Ineffective supervision and regulation by the Central Bank

    Inadequate lending strategies

    Competition from foreign banks

    Political interference

    Other (please specify)

    II.36 - What are the 3 main key constraints to access to credit? (please rank them by order of

    importance starting with 1 for most important)High interest rates

    High collateral requirements

    Low income

    Lack of bankable projects

    High inflation

    Lack of information on borrowers

    Lack of competition in the banking sector

    Other (please specify)

    PART III: Regional integration

    III.1 - What are the objectives vis--vis macroeconomic convergence in the region? (pleasecheck all that are relevant)

    InflationInterest rate

    Exchange rateFiscal deficit

    Other (please specify)

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    III.2 - Do you find regional integration beneficial to your country?Very beneficial Somewhat beneficial Not beneficial

    III.3 - Is macroeconomic convergence a necessary condition for successful integration?

    Yes No

    III.4 - What are the 3 main constraints to successful regional integration? (please rank byimportance, starting with 1 most important)

    Inadequate infrastructure

    Technical and administrative capacity

    Inefficient payments systems

    Complex and inconsistent regulatory systemsOther (please specify)

    Please share with us any comments you would like to make on macroeconomic policies in your

    country:

    Thank you very much for your time and effort!